Profit realization on the rise: aSOPR holds steady above 1.0 since March’s SVB collapse

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Quick Take

  • The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) is computed by dividing the realized value (in USD) divided by the value at creation (USD) of a spent output — or simply: price sold / price paid.
  • Adjusted SOPR is SOPR ignoring all outputs with a lifespan of less than 1 hour.
  • aSOPR has been holding above 1.0 since the SVB collapse back in March. This signifies that the market is now, on average, realizing profits in on-chain spending.
  • This generally aligns with a healthier inflow of demand (to absorb profit-taking) and a more constructive opinion of the asset.
  • We tested 1.0 at the end of March, and I expect to test it a few more times — similar to previous bear markets. We can undershot 1.0 to flush out leverage, similar to 2019.
  • While both long and short-term holders realized profits for the first time since May 2022, this was in a downtrend in price. So we are in a similar period to early 2020 regarding price ascending.
SOPR: (Source: Glassnode)
ASOPR: (Source: Glassnode)
aSOPR: (Source: Glassnode)

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